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Tesla26 MarBusinessHigh confidence

Tesla Q1 2026 Delivery Consensus: 365,645 Total Deliveries Expected

Total deliveries Q1 2026 consensus

365,645

Model 3/Y Q1 2026 consensus

351,179

What Happened

Tesla has published its company-compiled consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for the first quarter of 2026 and beyond. The consensus includes 23 analysts' forecasts for vehicle deliveries and 18 for energy storage deployments. Tesla notes that it does not endorse any of the analysts' information or conclusions.

Expected Q1 2026 total deliveries

365,645

Down from 418,227 in Q4 2025 actual

Expected Q1 2026 energy storage deployments

14.4GWh

Up from 14.2 GWh in Q4 2025

Why this matters

The data provides a market benchmark for Tesla's near-term sales performance and influences investor expectations.

Terms in This Story

EV
Electric vehicle, a vehicle powered fully or partly by electricity.
GWh
Gigawatt-hour, a large unit used to describe battery or energy capacity.
OTA
Over-the-air update, a software update delivered remotely to a vehicle.
Read Original: Tesla